Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.024668 0.026642 0.028701 0.031011 0.033532 0.036202 0.039247
2025-11-23 0.021440 0.024273 0.027387 0.031073 0.035326 0.040092 0.045851
2025-11-30 0.019146 0.022441 0.026206 0.030845 0.036427 0.042955 0.051208
2025-12-07 0.017477 0.021064 0.025294 0.030677 0.037382 0.045507 0.056172
2025-12-14 0.016108 0.019876 0.024441 0.030413 0.038076 0.047653 0.060642
2025-12-21 0.015124 0.019058 0.023937 0.030482 0.039108 0.050194 0.065688
2025-12-28 0.014183 0.018209 0.023308 0.030304 0.039749 0.052200 0.070084
2026-01-04 0.013419 0.017526 0.022830 0.030260 0.040519 0.054367 0.074777
2026-01-11 0.012804 0.016993 0.022502 0.030371 0.041471 0.056793 0.079939
2026-01-18 0.012227 0.016470 0.022147 0.030404 0.042285 0.059037 0.084939
2026-01-25 0.011764 0.016072 0.021930 0.030601 0.043318 0.061621 0.090570
2026-02-01 0.011183 0.015476 0.021399 0.030306 0.043601 0.063100 0.094588
2026-02-08 0.010549 0.014791 0.020734 0.029820 0.043629 0.064281 0.098370
2026-02-15 0.010077 0.014320 0.020354 0.029733 0.044256 0.066414 0.103820
2026-02-22 0.009600 0.013813 0.019892 0.029490 0.044616 0.068138 0.108706
2026-03-01 0.009183 0.013372 0.019501 0.029326 0.045075 0.070024 0.113967
2026-03-08 0.008775 0.012924 0.019073 0.029075 0.045367 0.071639 0.118855
2026-03-15 0.008477 0.012626 0.018857 0.029140 0.046165 0.074115 0.125384
2026-03-22 0.008142 0.012256 0.018510 0.028971 0.046557 0.075920 0.130831
2026-03-29 0.007860 0.011954 0.018252 0.028929 0.047151 0.078090 0.137074
2026-04-05 0.007629 0.011721 0.018092 0.029035 0.047996 0.080731 0.144359
2026-04-12 0.007395 0.011473 0.017895 0.029066 0.048705 0.083162 0.151407
2026-04-19 0.007207 0.011291 0.017794 0.029253 0.049692 0.086141 0.159714